A money line is the key point of the bookie’s business. Setting the line accurately puts a bookmaker to the odds-on compared to a bettor. At the same time a gambler can beat a bookie using some factors that discover themselves in a thorough line analysis. The bookie-bettor battle is on.
Bookmakers are cunning and crafty. A bettor realizes this at once especially while spread betting. A bookmaker put in the line insider information that can affect the event outcome, implicit margin, odds control and so on.
- There’s no need to stick to one bookie while analyzing the line. It is better to get the whole picture of the odds changing by monitoring a list of bookies. You should choose famous sports books that have lots of analysts as staff instead of little-known bookmakers. Sport events websites offer different bookies’ services and their odds lines’ changes for comparison.
- You should first collect the future match data, make your own forecast and then check the bookmaker’s line. It is not very difficult and can be dome mathematically. A bettor should try defining the percentage of outcome probability and then divide it by 100. If the bookie’s odds are higher, a bet on the event can be made.
- The sports book’s line changes so that bettors would stake on different outcomes in the line. It is a bookie’s insurance to prevent big losses, a sports book lows the teams-favorites odds.
- The odds for a particular match may change by 0,1-0,3 of its value in several days or hours. It is okay, any sports book can change a line somehow. But if the odds change by 0.5 or higher, it might be a sign of match fixing taking place. A bettor can find information on them using services online.
- It is important to remember that sports books often change the line to confuse bettors and reroute the stake flow for their own benefit.
- A gambler should remember that sports book’s odds cannot be a basis for profit calculating, they are criteria for learning matches’ profitability.
It is necessary to choose the betting strategy for an accurate event line analysis. Gamblers often choose the value betting. It is a favorite betting strategy. Using mathematical computing. a bettor finds a match where a team-outsider has a chance of winning and make a bet on higher odds.
There’s a strategy bookmakers hate as it gives small but guaranteed profit. It’s called an arb. Sports books look for arbers and ban them or change the line odds to withstand them. In turn, bettors find different ways of arb search and there are lots of services on the Internet for searching arb bets.
Special forecast sites might help to make correct analysis. Information they share might be useful and well-timed, that’s why it is always better to get into advice capers offer. Not all of them are applicable but they worth it anyway.
Collecting all the possible sport news, analyzing future matches, looking for unofficial data helps a bettor to make bets accurately and investigate the line. It takes time, of course, but gamblers stake money and have no willing to lose them.